Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 46%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.