Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.