Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Ilves had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Ilves win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
