MX23RW : Tuesday, August 15 04:22:30| >> :120:7615:7615:
Sweden national football team
Women's World Cup | Round of 16
Aug 6, 2023 at 10am UK
AAMI Park
USA national football team
Sweden Women
0 - 0
USA Women

Asllani (49')
FT
(aet)

Ertz (119')
Sweden Women win 5-4 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's World Cup clash between Sweden Women and USA Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Argentina Women 0-2 Sweden Women
Wednesday, August 2 at 8am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Portugal Women 0-0 USA Women
Tuesday, August 1 at 8am in Women's World Cup

We say: Sweden Women 2-1 USA Women

There have been signs in the group stage that the USA's dominance at the Women's World Cup could be coming to an end, and we think that they the record winners will be eliminated by a Sweden side that have been in fine form at the tournament, having won all three of their matches, scoring nine goals and only conceding on just one occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for USA Women had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest USA Women win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%).

Result
Sweden WomenDrawUSA Women
48.09% (0.415 0.41) 25.25% (0.356 0.36) 26.66% (-0.769 -0.77)
Both teams to score 52.56% (-1.735 -1.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (-1.99 -1.99)50.46% (1.991 1.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (-1.787 -1.79)72.39% (1.789 1.79)
Sweden Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-0.629 -0.63)21% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21% (-0.993 -0.99)53.78% (0.994 0.99)
USA Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (-1.652 -1.65)33.46% (1.654 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (-1.85 -1.85)70.09% (1.853 1.85)
Score Analysis
    Sweden Women 48.08%
    USA Women 26.66%
    Draw 25.24%
Sweden WomenDrawUSA Women
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.66 0.66)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.356 0.36)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.08%
1-1 @ 12% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.548 0.55)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 26.66%

How you voted: 1st Group G vs 2nd Group E

1st Group G
68.8%
Draw
9.4%
2nd Group E
21.9%
64
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2021 9.30am
Group Stage
Sweden Women
3-0
USA Women
Blackstenius (25', 55'), Hurtig (72')
Jun 20, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Sweden Women
0-2
USA Women

Jakobsson (87')
Horan (3'), Andersson (50' og.)
O'Hara (59')
Jun 13, 2015 1am
rhs 2.0
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