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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Sarpugerdi

Vikingur
2 - 0
FK Liepaja

Kallsberg (30'), Justinussen (43')
Bardason (89'), Ellingsgaard (90+1'), Gregersen (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Babic (19'), Mbaye Diouf (67'), Patijcuks (89'), Karasausks (89'), Purtic (89')
Purtic (70')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Vikingur Gota and FK Liepaja.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vikingur Gota

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Last Game: FK Liepaja 1-1 Vikingur
Thursday, July 11 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

FK Liepaja

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Last Game: FK Liepaja 1-1 Vikingur
Thursday, July 11 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vikingur Gota win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for FK Liepaja had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vikingur Gota win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a FK Liepaja win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vikingur Gota would win this match.

Result
Vikingur GotaDrawFK Liepaja
60.04% (-0.221 -0.22)21.29% (0.141 0.14)18.67% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.319 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.8% (-0.501 -0.5)42.2% (0.50700000000001 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (-0.504 -0.5)64.6% (0.51000000000001 0.51)
Vikingur Gota Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.34% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)13.65% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.16% (-0.454 -0.45)40.84% (0.461 0.46)
FK Liepaja Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (-0.201 -0.2)36.27% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (-0.208 -0.21)73.05% (0.21300000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Vikingur Gota 60.04%
    FK Liepaja 18.67%
    Draw 21.29%
Vikingur GotaDrawFK Liepaja
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.86% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 60.04%
1-1 @ 10% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.29%
1-2 @ 5.07% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.02% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.67%

Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 4pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
FK Liepaja
1-1
Vikingur
Simic (55')
Mbaye Diouf (33'), Grinbergs (51'), Purtic (79')
Kallsberg (21')
Ellingsgaard (86')