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Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Mestalla
Celta Vigo logo
Valencia
2 - 0
Celta Vigo
Gomez (28'), Araujo (60' og.)
Foulquier (64'), Correia (64'), Moriba (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Galan (45+1'), Mendez (52'), Galhardo (79')

Preview: Valencia vs. Celta Vigo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Valencia will be looking to win in La Liga for the first time since the middle of March when they welcome Celta Vigo to Mestalla on Saturday afternoon.

Los Che are currently 11th in the table, one point behind 10th-placed Celta, with both teams looking to end their respective 2021-22 campaigns on a positive note.


Match preview

Valencia coach Jose Bordalas Jimenez reacts on March 2, 2022© Reuters

Valencia will improve on last season's 13th-place finish in La Liga, but an underwhelming run of form has seen Los Che drop down into 11th position in the table heading into the final set of fixtures.

Jose Bordalas's side could still finish as high as ninth with a win here depending on other results, which would not be disastrous, while they reached the Copa del Rey final last month, losing on penalties to Real Betis.

Valencia have not been victorious in La Liga since the middle of March, drawing five and losing three of their eight matches since then, including a 1-1 with Espanyol last weekend.

Bordalas's team have struggled in front of their own fans this season, only picking up 23 points from 18 matches, which is among the worst home records in the division.

Valencia have won their last two matches against Celta, though, including a 2-1 victory in the reverse match back in December, and Los Che will be determined to end their campaign on a positive note.

Celta Vigo coach Eduardo Coudet on February 26, 2022© Reuters

Celta finished eighth in La Liga last season, but the Sky Blues are currently 10th in the table, one point behind ninth-placed Osasuna heading into the final set of fixtures.

Eduardo Coudet's side could finish ninth, 10th or 11th this season, and they will be bidding to record their 13th La Liga victory of the 2021-22 campaign this weekend.

Celta have only lost one of their last four league matches, winning two of their last three, including a 1-0 success over Elche last weekend, with Denis Suarez netting the only goal of the game.

The Sky Blues have been relatively strong on their travels this season, picking up 21 points from 18 matches, and the fact that Valencia have struggled at Mestalla this term should hand them confidence.

As mentioned, though, Celta have lost their last two games against Los Che, while they have not been victorious at Mestalla in Spain's top flight since March 2016.

Valencia La Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D

Valencia form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • D

Celta Vigo La Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W


Team News

Valencia's Jose Gaya celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 17, 2021© Reuters

Valencia will again be missing Hugo Guillamon and Gabriel Paulista this weekend through injury, while Hugo Duro remains a doubt for the home side.

Los Che will also be without the services of Omar Alderete through suspension, which will open the door for Mouctar Diakhaby to feature in the middle of the defence.

Goncalo Guedes is also expected to be back in the starting side on Saturday, but it could again be a 5-3-2 formation, with Ilaix Moriba retaining his spot in the middle of midfield.

As for Celta, Renato Tapia will miss the match through suspension, while Fran Beltran, Franco Cervi, Nolito and Hugo Mallo are also out of the contest.

Santi Mina is also absent, having been sentenced to four years in prison after being found guilty of sexual abuse, so Thiago Galhardo could start alongside Iago Aspas in the final third of the field.

Gabri Veiga could benefit from the absences of Tapia and Beltran to start in central midfield, while Augusto Solari should retain his spot in a midfield area for the visitors.

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Cillessen; Correia, Foulquier, Comert, Diakhaby, Gaya; Soler, Racic, Moriba; Guedes, Gomez

Celta Vigo possible starting lineup:
Dituro; Vazquez, Aidoo, Araujo, Galan; Solari, Veiga, D Suarez, Mendez; Galhardo, Aspas


SM words green background

We say: Valencia 1-1 Celta Vigo

Both sides will be determined to finish their campaign on a positive note, but we are struggling to back either with any real confidence at the moment. Valencia have drawn eight times on home soil this term, and we are predicting another stalemate in this contest.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Valencia vs Celta Vigo

Valencia
45.7%
Draw
39.7%
Celta Vigo
14.7%
116
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Valencia forward Goncalo Guedes pictured on February 14, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GironaGirona20154146242249
2Real Madrid19153140112948
3Athletic Bilbao20125338201841
4Barcelona19125236221441
5Atletico MadridAtletico19122539231638
6Real Sociedad2088431211032
7Real BetisBetis2071032220231
8Valencia208572624229
9Las PalmasLas Palmas208481917228
10Getafe196852425-126
11Rayo Vallecano195861824-623
12Osasuna196492229-722
13AlavesAlaves2055101827-920
14Mallorca2031071824-619
15Villarreal2054112741-1419
16Celta Vigo203892130-917
17Sevilla2037102530-516
18CadizCadiz202991530-1515
19Granada2025132241-1911
20Almeria2006141943-246

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