Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Cerrito.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
