Penarol
1 - 2
River Plate
Britos (66')
Nunez (8')
Nunez (38')
Nunez (8')
Nunez (38')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Neris (19', 36')
Vicente (41'), Salaberry (52'), Rodriguez (65')
Vicente (41'), Salaberry (52'), Rodriguez (65')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and River Plate.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.99%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | River Plate |
| 46.99% | 28.02% | 24.99% |
| Both teams to score 43.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
