Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
