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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Tose Proeski Arena

Tikves
3 - 2
Breidablik

Stojkovski (74'), Stojanov (80'), Guerra de Souza (83')
Mojsov (45+1'), Stojanov (58'), Vitao (76'), Spirkoski (77'), Menezes Bandeira Neto (83'), Stojkovski (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Karl Einarsson (13'), Kristinsson (31')
Karl Einarsson (33')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Tikves and Breidablik.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tikves

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Breidablik

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Last Game: Luhansk 4-0 Breidablik
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Breidablik win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Tikves had a probability of 13.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Breidablik win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Tikves win it was 2-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
TikvesDrawBreidablik
13.91% (-0.124 -0.12)18.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)67.85% (0.155 0.16)
Both teams to score 54.85% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.83% (-0.12 -0.12)37.17% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.63% (-0.129 -0.13)59.37% (0.123 0.12)
Tikves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.97% (-0.251 -0.25)39.03% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.25% (-0.235 -0.23)75.75% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.96% (0.0040000000000049 0)10.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.89% (0.013999999999996 0.01)33.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tikves 13.91%
    Breidablik 67.85%
    Draw 18.23%
TikvesDrawBreidablik
2-1 @ 3.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 3.69% (-0.004 -0)
2-0 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 13.91%
1-1 @ 8.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.23%
0-2 @ 10.35% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 7.93% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 4.56% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 4.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.51% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-5 @ 2.1% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.97%
2-5 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 67.85%