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Torreense
Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 21, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Campo Manuel Marques
Mafra
Torreense
1 - 0
Mafra
Welthon (90+3')
Welthon (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Queta (60'), Ferreira (65'), Filipe Sousa Dias Pedro Lopes (79')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between Torreense and Mafra.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Torreense
Tuesday, December 6 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Chaves 1-2 Mafra
Friday, December 16 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torreense win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Mafra had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torreense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Mafra win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torreense in this match.

Result
TorreenseDrawMafra
40.04% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 26.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 33.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 52.41% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.67% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)52.33% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.98% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)74.02% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Torreense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)25.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)60.58% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Mafra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.49% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.5% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)65.5% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Torreense 40.04%
    Mafra 33.53%
    Draw 26.43%
TorreenseDrawMafra
1-0 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.04%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.57% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.53%

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