Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sivasspor would win this match.
