Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.
