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Africa Cup of Nations

Sierra Leone national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Ivory Coast national football team

Sierra Leone
1 - 0
Ivory Coast

Bakayoko (85')
Dumbuya (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bailly (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sierra Leone and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 4-1 Sierra Leone
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 4-1 Sierra Leone
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Sierra LeoneDrawIvory Coast
15.95% (-0.174 -0.17)22.38% (-0.248 -0.25)61.67% (0.42599999999999 0.43)
Both teams to score 46.17% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.74% (0.677 0.68)51.26% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.91% (0.588 0.59)73.1% (-0.58500000000001 -0.59)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.06% (0.172 0.17)44.95% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.11% (0.135 0.14)80.89% (-0.133 -0.13)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (0.38200000000001 0.38)16.15% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (0.687 0.69)45.59% (-0.685 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Sierra Leone 15.95%
    Ivory Coast 61.66%
    Draw 22.38%
Sierra LeoneDrawIvory Coast
1-0 @ 5.8% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-1 @ 4.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.32% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.13%
3-2 @ 1.03% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 15.95%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.26% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 13.23% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-2 @ 12.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.33% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.87% (0.094 0.09)
0-4 @ 3.34% (0.08 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.67% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.048 0.05)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.035 0.03)
1-5 @ 0.98% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 61.66%

How you voted: Sierra Leone vs Ivory Coast

Sierra Leone
11.5%
Draw
7.7%
Ivory Coast
80.8%
26
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Ivory Coast
4-1
Sierra Leone
Pepe (3'), Kessie (51', 75' pen.), Diakite (87' pen.)
Traore (83')
Koroma (43')
Fornah (57'), Nbalie Kamara (75'), Traore (83')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2024 5pm
Friendlies 1
Ivory Coast
5-1
Sierra Leone
Diomande (18'), Kessie (36'), Bamba (38'), Boga (48'), Thierry Lazare (84')
Diakite (81')
Michael (86')
Dumbuya (57'), Koroma (65')
Jan 16, 2022 4pm
Group Stage
Ivory Coast
2-2
Sierra Leone
Haller (25'), Pepe (65')
Kamara (55'), Kamara (90+3')
Kakay (52'), Kamara (90+5')
> Preview