Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
