Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-0 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
