Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.