We said: Famalicao 1-1 Belenenses
With the sides separated by just three points at the bottom of the table, we expect them to take the game to each other in search of a morale boosting win. While Famalicao are on a fine run of results against Belenenses, they head into the game in similar form and we anticipate a share of the spoils with both sides settling for a point apiece.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
