MX23RW : Saturday, July 27 22:04:05| >> :60:1348:1348:
Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2024 at 6pm UK
Parc des Princes

Israel U23s
2 - 4
Paraguay U23s

Gandelman (53'), Gluh (80')
Azoulay (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fabian Fernandez Benitez (25', 90+6'), Enciso (69'), Balbuena (90+3')
Caballero (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Israel and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Mali Under-23s 1-1 Israel U23s
Wednesday, July 24 at 8pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
All competitions
Last Game: Japan U23s 5-0 Paraguay U23s
Wednesday, July 24 at 6pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

We said: Israel 1-2 Paraguay

While Paraguay suffered a heavy defeat in their opening match, they were right in the contest until they were reduced to 10 men. Back to a full contingent and with their qualification hopes on the line, we feel La Albirroja could pull off an important victory in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paraguay Under-23s win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw has a probability of 22.7% and a win for Israel Under-23s has a probability of 22.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay Under-23s win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Israel Under-23s win it is 2-1 (5.91%).

Result
Israel Under-23sDrawParaguay Under-23s
22.63% (8.728 8.73) 22.67% (3.965 3.97) 54.7% (-12.694 -12.69)
Both teams to score 56.63% (3.564 3.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94% (-3.596 -3.6)43.06% (3.597 3.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54% (-3.653 -3.65)65.46% (3.655 3.66)
Israel Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (7.662 7.66)32.86% (-7.661 -7.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (7.698 7.7)69.43% (-7.698 -7.7)
Paraguay Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (-4.874 -4.87)15.66% (4.873 4.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.31% (-9.889 -9.89)44.69% (9.89 9.89)
Score Analysis
    Israel Under-23s 22.63%
    Paraguay Under-23s 54.7%
    Draw 22.66%
Israel Under-23sDrawParaguay Under-23s
2-1 @ 5.91% (1.937 1.94)
1-0 @ 5.73% (1.778 1.78)
2-0 @ 3.19% (1.403 1.4)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.996 1)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.7 0.7)
3-0 @ 1.18% (0.645 0.65)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 22.63%
1-1 @ 10.61% (1.819 1.82)
2-2 @ 5.48% (1.056 1.06)
0-0 @ 5.14% (0.775 0.78)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.267 0.27)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.54% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-1.986 -1.99)
1-3 @ 6.08% (-1.184 -1.18)
0-3 @ 5.47% (-2.578 -2.58)
2-3 @ 3.39% (0.103 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-1.226 -1.23)
0-4 @ 2.53% (-1.945 -1.95)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.258 -0.26)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.757 -0.76)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-1.055 -1.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 54.7%

How you voted: Israel U23s vs Paraguay U23s

Israel Under-23s
38.9%
Draw
11.1%
Paraguay Under-23s
50.0%
36