Northern Ireland national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Switzerland national football team

N. Ireland
1 - 1
Switzerland

Price (16')
Bonis (5'), Smyth (40')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sierro (28')
Gartenmann (15'), Vargas (36'), Zakaria (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Northern Ireland and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northern Ireland

All competitions
Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 N. Ireland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Switzerland

All competitions
Last Game: Spain 3-2 Switzerland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawSwitzerland
51.1% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)26.96% (0.032 0.03)21.93% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 43.17% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.61% (-0.064 -0.06)60.39% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.47% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)80.53% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)23.84% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)58.02% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.69% (0.011000000000003 0.01)43.31% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.45% (0.010000000000002 0.01)79.55% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 51.1%
    Switzerland 21.93%
    Draw 26.95%
Northern IrelandDrawSwitzerland
1-0 @ 14.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 51.1%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.93%

How you voted: N. Ireland vs Switzerland

Northern Ireland
64.1%
Draw
12.8%
Switzerland
23.1%
39
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
2-0
N. Ireland
Zuber (45+3'), Fassnacht (90+1')
Zakaria (90')

Lewis (23'), Bradley (88'), Magennis (89')
Lewis (37')
> Preview
Sep 8, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
N. Ireland
0-0
Switzerland
Smith (24'), Lewis (49'), Brown (90+3')
Frei (16'), Zakaria (53')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2017 5pm
Playoffs
Switzerland
0-0
N. Ireland
> Match Report
Nov 9, 2017 7.45pm
Playoffs
N. Ireland
0-1
Switzerland
Rodriguez (58' pen.)
> Match Report