World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio Nacional Dennis Martinez

Nicaragua
4 - 1
Montserrat

Barzey (3'), Moreno (3'), J (23' og.), Montes (69', 69'), Medina (90+3', 90+3')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Arteaga (23'), Barzey (23')
Cirino (59'), Cirino (59'), Simon (90+1'), Simon (90+1')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Nicaragua and Montserrat.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nicaragua

All competitions

Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Nicaragua
Monday, May 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Montserrat

All competitions

Last Game: Montserrat 4-2 Barbados
Monday, November 20 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 89.32%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 2.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 4-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.65%), while for a Montserrat win it was 0-1 (1.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
Nicaragua	Draw	Montserrat
89.32% ( 0.02)	7.69% ( -0.01)	2.99% ( -0.01)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Nicaragua	Draw	Montserrat
3-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 10.83% 5-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.67% Total : 89.31%	1-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 7.69%	0-1 @ 1.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 2.99%