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New Zealand national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 3am UK
 
Tahiti national football team

New Zealand
3 - 0
Tahiti

Just (2', 2'), Wood (67', 67'), Waine (89', 89')
Bindon (90'), Bindon (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Paama (90+8'), Paama (90+8')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between New Zealand and Tahiti.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions
Last Game: USA 1-1 New Zealand
Wednesday, September 11 at 12am in International Friendlies

Tahiti

Last Game: Tahiti 3-0 Cook Islands
Friday, September 1 at 7am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Tahiti had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Tahiti win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New ZealandDrawTahiti
53.38% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)25.46% (0.134 0.13)21.16% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 46.17% (-0.438 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03% (-0.54 -0.54)55.96% (0.54 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (-0.439 -0.44)77.06% (0.441 0.44)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-0.249 -0.25)21% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (-0.39 -0.39)53.77% (0.39100000000001 0.39)
Tahiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.44% (-0.369 -0.37)41.56% (0.369 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.95% (-0.325 -0.32)78.05% (0.324 0.32)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand 53.37%
    Tahiti 21.16%
    Draw 25.45%
New ZealandDrawTahiti
1-0 @ 13.62% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.73% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 7.66% (0.082 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.16%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2022 6.30pm
Semi-finals
New Zealand
1-0
Tahiti
Cacace (70')
Reid (32'), Cacace (51'), Greive (90+4')

Keck (7'), Heitaa (27'), Paama (90+2'), Bremond (90+5')
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