
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 59.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Dorking Wanderers | 
| 59.04% (  -0.13) | 21.2% (  0.17) | 19.75% (  -0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 57.31% (  -0.67) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.89% (  -0.85) | 40.11% (  0.84) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.52% (  -0.88) | 62.47% (  0.88) | 
| Fylde Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.71% (  -0.31) | 13.28% (  0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.9% (  -0.63) | 40.09% (  0.62) | 
| Dorking Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.09% (  -0.54) | 33.9% (  0.53) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.42% (  -0.58) | 70.57% (  0.58) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fylde | Draw | Dorking Wanderers | 
| 2-1 @ 9.93% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 9.18% (  0.15) 1-0 @ 9.09% (  0.25) 3-1 @ 6.68% (  -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.18% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 3.61% (  -0.09) 4-1 @ 3.37% (  -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.12% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.82% (  -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.36% (  -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.26% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.45% Total : 59.04% | 1-1 @ 9.83% (  0.13) 2-2 @ 5.37% (  -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.5% (  0.17) 3-3 @ 1.3% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 5.32% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.87% (  0.12) 0-2 @ 2.63% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 1.94% (  -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.92% (  -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.95% (  -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 19.75% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 | 
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 | 
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 | 
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 | 
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 | 
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 | 
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 | 
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 | 
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | 
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 | 
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 | 
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 | 
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 | 
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 | 
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 | 
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