Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 77.77%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Egnatia Rrogozhine had a probability of 7.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.01%) and 1-0 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Egnatia Rrogozhine win it was 0-1 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Egnatia Rrogozhine
77.77% ( -0.12)	14.53% ( 0.03)	7.7% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 44.85% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.94% (

0.16)

38.06% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.67% (

0.17)

60.32% (

-0.17)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.02% (

0.01)

7.98% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.85% (

0.03)

28.15% (

-0.03)

Egnatia Rrogozhine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.74% (

0.31)

51.26% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.48% (

0.21)

85.51% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Napoli 77.76%

Egnatia Rrogozhine 7.7%

Draw 14.53%

Napoli	Draw	Egnatia Rrogozhine
2-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 77.76%	1-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.61% Total : 14.53%	0-1 @ 2.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 7.7%