Montserrat national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arnos Vale Ground

Montserrat
0 - 1
Bonaire


Braham-Barrett (48'), Daniels (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cicilia (29')
Sonnenschein (23'), Shakir Shandre Winklaar (38'), Martijn (44'), Gerardo (70')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Montserrat and Bonaire.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montserrat

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bonaire 0-1 Montserrat
Thursday, October 10 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Bonaire

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bonaire 0-1 Montserrat
Thursday, October 10 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonaire win with a probability of 59.93%. A win for Montserrat had a probability of 20.26% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonaire win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-3 (7.15%). The likeliest Montserrat win was 2-1 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonaire would win this match.

Result
MontserratDrawBonaire
20.26% (-0.14 -0.14)19.8% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)59.93% (0.201 0.2)
Both teams to score 63.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.38% (0.097999999999999 0.1)32.62% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.72% (0.114 0.11)54.28% (-0.11600000000001 -0.12)
Montserrat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)29.03% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)64.94% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Bonaire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.29% (0.081000000000003 0.08)10.7% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.38% (0.18000000000001 0.18)34.62% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Montserrat 20.26%
    Bonaire 59.93%
    Draw 19.8%
MontserratDrawBonaire
2-1 @ 5.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 3.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 20.26%
1-1 @ 8.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.8%
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.76% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.15% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.78% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.99% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 3.23% (0.026 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.47% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.78% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.44% (0.017 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 59.93%

How you voted: Montserrat vs Bonaire

Montserrat
20.0%
Draw
60.0%
Bonaire
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 9pm
League B
Bonaire
0-1
Montserrat

Serberie (56')
Taylor (48' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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