Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 45.84%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Niort had a probability of 25.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
