Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Marseille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Troyes |
58.38% | 22.55% | 19.07% |
Both teams to score 51.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.89% | 47.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.65% | 69.35% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.18% | 15.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55% | 45% |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.3% | 38.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.56% | 75.44% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Troyes |
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 6.07% 4-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.26% Total : 58.37% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.54% | 0-1 @ 5.81% 1-2 @ 5.09% 0-2 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 73 | 30 | 43 | 72 |
2 | Marseille | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 64 |
3 | Lens | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 61 |
5 | Lille | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 55 |
6 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
9 | Nice | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 45 |
10 | Lorient | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
11 | Clermont | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 37 |
14 | Auxerre | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 32 |
15 | NantesNantes | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
16 | Brest | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Troyes | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 21 |
19 | Ajaccio | 31 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 21 |
20 | Angers | 31 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 24 | 66 | -42 | 14 |
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