UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Rheinpark Stadion

Liechtenstein
1 - 3
San Marino

Sele (40')
Wieser (49'), Traber (65'), Marxer (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lazzari (46'), Nanni (66' pen.), Golinucci (76')
Berardi (60'), Sensoli (71'), Battistini (86')

Reaction

San Marino's Nicola Nanni celebrates with teammates after scoring on November 18, 2024

Liechtenstein 1-3 San Marino: World's lowest-ranked team break multiple national records with Nations League promotion

San Marino, the world's lowest-ranked nation, break multiple national records after beating Liechtenstein 3-1 on Monday to secure promotion to League C in the UEFA Nations League.

Nov 19, 08:21

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Liechtenstein and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liechtenstein

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Malta 2-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, November 14 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	San Marino	0	0	0
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0
3	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

San Marino

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: San Marino 1-1 Gibraltar
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	San Marino	0	0	0
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0
3	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liechtenstein win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liechtenstein win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Liechtenstein	Draw	San Marino
38.56% ( 0.88)	24.75% ( -0.03)	36.69% ( -0.85)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Liechtenstein	Draw	San Marino
2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.56%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.75%	1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.69%