Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Algeria had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for an Algeria win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.