Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.