Haiti national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 15, 2024 at 1am UK
Compleho Deportivo Guillermo Prospero Trinidad
Aruba national football team

Haiti
5 - 3
Aruba

Jean Jacques (16', 16'), Don Deedson (42', 42'), Nazon (66' pen., 66' pen.), Picault (76', 76'), Pierrot (89' pen., 89' pen.)
Ade (36'), Ade (36'), Jean Jacques (85'), Jean Jacques (85')
FT(HT: 4-4)
Ostiana (14' pen., 14' pen., 20', 20'), Anthony Kruydenhof (78', 78')
Nedd (71'), Nedd (71')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Haiti and Aruba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Haiti

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Aruba 1-3 Haiti
Saturday, October 12 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Aruba

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Aruba 1-3 Haiti
Saturday, October 12 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 57.35%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 21.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Aruba win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.

Result
HaitiDrawAruba
57.35% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)21.12% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)21.53% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 60.5% (0.44600000000001 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (0.508 0.51)37.23% (-0.507 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.56% (0.546 0.55)59.44% (-0.546 -0.55)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (0.151 0.15)12.85% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.78% (0.311 0.31)39.22% (-0.31 -0.31)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (0.392 0.39)30.57% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (0.465 0.47)66.8% (-0.465 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Haiti 57.35%
    Aruba 21.53%
    Draw 21.12%
HaitiDrawAruba
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.27% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.7% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.97% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.04% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.12%
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.66% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 21.53%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 1am
League B
Aruba
1-3
Haiti
Perret Gentil (6')
Perret Gentil (28'), Jimenez (33'), Marselia (79')
Pierrot (31'), Nazon (38' pen., 61')
Arcus (62')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
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6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
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RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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