Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
