Flamengo
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 2nd Leg
May 22, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Botafogo

Flamengo
4 - 2
Botafogo-PB

Danilo (4', 4'), Pedro (7', 7'), Varela (22', 22'), Everton (49', 49')
FT(HT: 6-2)
Dourado (36', 36'), Alves da Cruz (69', 69')
Dourado (31'), Dourado (31'), Lima de Oliveira Filho (82'), Lima de Oliveira Filho (82'), Silvinho (89'), Silvinho (89')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Flamengo and Botafogo-PB.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, May 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Botafogo-PB

All competitions
Last Game: Botafogo-PB 0-1 Flamengo
Friday, May 2 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 88.85%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Botafogo-PB had a probability of 2.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.38%) and 1-0 (12.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (4.24%), while for a Botafogo-PB win it was 0-1 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBotafogo-PB
88.85% (0.66199999999999 0.66)8.88% (-0.441 -0.44)2.27% (-0.219 -0.22)
Both teams to score 25.04% (-0.901 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.2% (0.63 0.63)38.8% (-0.628 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.89% (0.662 0.66)61.11% (-0.659 -0.66)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.23% (0.259 0.26)5.77% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.77% (0.73 0.73)22.23% (-0.729 -0.73)
Botafogo-PB Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
26.57% (-1.031 -1.03)73.43% (1.034 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.89% (-0.328 -0.33)96.11% (0.331 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 88.82%
    Botafogo-PB 2.27%
    Draw 8.88%
FlamengoDrawBotafogo-PB
2-0 @ 17.23% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 16.38% (0.27 0.27)
1-0 @ 12.08% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-0 @ 11.68% (0.37 0.37)
5-0 @ 6.67% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 5.32% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.06% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.045 -0.04)
6-0 @ 3.17% (0.194 0.19)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.29% (0.098 0.1)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 88.82%
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-1 @ 3.73% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 8.88%
0-1 @ 1.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 2.27%

Head to Head
May 2, 2025 12am
Third Round 1st Leg
Botafogo-PB
0-1
Flamengo
Jesus (74' pen.), Artur (76'), Seco (90')
Gregore (67')
Joshua Lana de Andrade (85')
Rodrigues de Souza (70')