UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Finland national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Republic of Ireland national football team

Finland
1 - 2
Rep. Ireland

Pohjanpalo (17', 17')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Scales (57'), Brady (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Finland and Republic of Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: England 2-0 Finland
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-2 Greece
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
FinlandDrawRepublic of Ireland
54.02% (1.756 1.76)24.4% (-0.315 -0.31)21.58% (-1.441 -1.44)
Both teams to score 49.73% (-0.847 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.47% (-0.215 -0.21)51.53% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.67% (-0.187 -0.19)73.32% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81% (0.60600000000001 0.61)19% (-0.605 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44% (0.997 1)50.56% (-0.997 -1)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4% (-1.517 -1.52)38.6% (1.517 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.66% (-1.473 -1.47)75.34% (1.473 1.47)
Score Analysis
    Finland 54%
    Republic of Ireland 21.58%
    Draw 24.4%
FinlandDrawRepublic of Ireland
1-0 @ 12.17% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 10.11% (0.461 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.357 0.36)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.19 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.095 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.98% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.311 -0.31)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.254 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 21.58%

How you voted: Finland vs Rep. Ireland

Finland
50.3%
Draw
30.1%
Republic of Ireland
19.7%
173
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2020 5pm
League B
Finland
1-0
Rep. Ireland
Jensen (67')
Jensen (42')

Connolly (81')
> Match Report
Sep 6, 2020 5pm
League B
Rep. Ireland
0-1
Finland

Molumby (66'), Arter (86')
Jensen (64')
O'Shaughnessy (89')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!