Brighton logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 8, 2025 at 8pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Chelsea logo

Brighton
2 - 1
Chelsea

Rutter (12'), Mitoma (57')
Rutter (20'), Veltman (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Verbruggen (5' og.)
Dewsbury-Hall (14'), Caicedo (68')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion book their place in the fifth round of the FA Cup following a 2-1 victory over Chelsea at the Amex Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Chelsea.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Saturday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's FA Cup fourth round tie at Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 West Ham
Monday, February 3 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.23%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawChelsea
36.18% (-0.718 -0.72)22.72% (-0.241 -0.24)41.09% (0.954 0.95)
Both teams to score 66.26% (0.83 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.41% (1.117 1.12)34.59% (-1.122 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.47% (1.245 1.25)56.53% (-1.249 -1.25)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (0.155 0.16)19.68% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (0.255 0.26)51.68% (-0.257 -0.26)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (0.872 0.87)17.49% (-0.876 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (1.501 1.5)47.99% (-1.505 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 36.18%
    Chelsea 41.1%
    Draw 22.72%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-0 @ 5.6% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-0 @ 4.55% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.055 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 36.18%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.068 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.44% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.162 0.16)
2-3 @ 4.02% (0.15 0.15)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.15% (0.129 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.75% (0.112 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.33% (0.073 0.07)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 41.1%

How you voted: Brighton vs Chelsea

Brighton & Hove Albion
18.5%
Draw
15.3%
Chelsea
66.1%
189
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Chelsea
4-2
Brighton
Palmer (21', 28' pen., 31', 41')
Fernandez (29'), Cucurella (33'), Fofana (78')
Rutter (7'), Balepa (34')
Dunk (27'), Estupinan (29')
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Brighton
1-2
Chelsea
Welbeck (90+7')
Dunk (29'), Verbruggen (81')
Palmer (34'), Nkunku (64')
Sterling (77'), Caicedo (79')
James (88')
Dec 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Chelsea
3-2
Brighton
Fernandez (17', 65' pen.), Colwill (21')
Gallagher (31'), Badiashile (52'), Fernandez (59'), Sanchez (88')
Gallagher (45')
Buonanotte (43'), Pedro (90+2')
Hinshelwood (45+6'), Julio (58'), Gross (64'), Milner (64'), Pedro (90+14')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Chelsea
1-0
Brighton
Jackson (50')
Roberto Pochettino Trossero (43'), Ugochukwu (45')

Balepa (42'), Estupinan (45'), Welbeck (90+9')
Jul 23, 2023 12am
Club Friendlies
Chelsea
4-3
Brighton
Nkunku (19'), Mudryk (65'), Gallagher (72'), Jackson (77')
Nkunku (52')
Welbeck (13'), Pedro (79' pen.), Undav (89')
March (37'), Paul van Hecke (57')
Paul van Hecke (60')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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