Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.