Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
