Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 37.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
