World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 21, 2025 at 5pm UK

AEK Arena - George Karapatakis

Cyprus
2 - 0
San Marino

Pittas (55'), Kakoullis (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Valli Casadei (76'), Tosi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Cyprus and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions

Last Game: Romania 4-1 Cyprus
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	0	0	0
2	Cyprus	0	0	0
3	Lithuania	0	0	0
4	Kosovo	0	0	0

San Marino

All competitions

Last Game: Liechtenstein 1-3 San Marino
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	San Marino	0	0	0
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0
3	Liechtenstein	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cyprus would win this match.

Result
Cyprus	Draw	San Marino
55.62% ( 2.63)	24.69% ( -0.76)	19.69% ( -1.87)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Cyprus	Draw	San Marino
1-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 6% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.61%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.69%