World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Stadion Ergilio Hato

Curacao
4 - 1
Barbados

Janga (25', 25', 62', 62', 86' pen., 86' pen.), Kastaneer (90+2', 90+2')
Bacuna (46'), Bacuna (46'), Floranus (49'), Floranus (49')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Reid-Stephen (90+2' pen., 90+2' pen.)
Applewhaite (61'), Applewhaite (61')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Curacao and Barbados.

Form, Standings, Stats

Curacao

All competitions

Last Game: Curacao 1-1 El Salvador
Tuesday, November 21 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Barbados

All competitions

Last Game: Montserrat 4-2 Barbados
Monday, November 20 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 76.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Barbados had a probability of 8.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.08%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Barbados win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.

Result
Curacao	Draw	Barbados
76.19% ( -2.74)	14.92% ( 1.17)	8.89% ( 1.57)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Curacao	Draw	Barbados
2-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.77) 3-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.96) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.81) 4-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.52) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.36) 5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.18) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.27) 6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.9% Total : 76.18%	1-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.5) Other @ 0.84% Total : 14.92%	0-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.41% Total : 8.89%