Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.