Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.