The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Shanghai Port, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wuhan 2-1 Guangzhou
Monday, July 4 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
Monday, July 4 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 8 | -11 | 3 |
| 13 | Hebei | 9 | -16 | 3 |
Last Game: Shanghai Port 2-1 Hebei
Monday, July 4 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Monday, July 4 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Shanghai Port | 8 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Shenzhen | 9 | -1 | 13 |
We said: Guangzhou 0-2 Shanghai Port
Shanghai boast a vastly superior record in this fixture and are on a better run of results heading into the game. We expect them to come out victorious in a relatively easy manner come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 75.15%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.96%) and 0-3 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou | Draw | Shanghai Port |
8.59% ( -0.13) | 16.26% ( -0.24) | 75.15% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 42.81% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
