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Championship | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2020 at 7pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo
Watford
3 - 2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
The Match
Match Report
Ismaila Sarr had the last word to lift the Hornets into the play-off positions.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship fixture between Watford and Stoke City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
38.19%27.84%33.98%
Both teams to score 48.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.25%57.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.51%78.49%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73%29.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76%65.24%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08%31.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63%68.37%
Score Analysis
    Watford 38.18%
    Stoke City 33.98%
    Draw 27.83%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.98%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford

Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')

Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
Jan 3, 2017 8pm
Nov 27, 2016 12pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Amrabat (24'), Britos (26'), Holebas (40'), Behrami (93')
Britos (90')
Gomes (29' og.)
Content continues below the video

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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
3Luton TownLuton462117857391880
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742

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