Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.76%) and 2-3 (5.17%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.