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Africa Cup of Nations

Cape Verde national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde
Egypt national football team

Cape Verde
1 - 1
Egypt

Mendes (63' pen.)
Mendes (83'), Andrade (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mohamed (31')
Fathi (24'), El Shenawy (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Cape Verde and Egypt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 1-0 Cape Verde
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Egypt

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Egypt
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 38.57%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Cape Verde had a probability of 30.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.86%) and 1-2 (7.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.88%), while for a Cape Verde win it was 1-0 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Cape VerdeDrawEgypt
30.47% (-0.361 -0.36)30.96% (-0.138 -0.14)38.57% (0.507 0.51)
Both teams to score 39.14% (0.233 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.64% (0.322 0.32)68.36% (-0.315 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.83% (0.212 0.21)86.18% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)40.25% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)76.88% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Egypt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (0.504 0.5)34.5% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78% (0.531 0.53)71.22% (-0.521 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Cape Verde 30.46%
    Egypt 38.56%
    Draw 30.95%
Cape VerdeDrawEgypt
1-0 @ 12.63% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 6.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 30.46%
0-0 @ 13.88% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-1 @ 13.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.26% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 30.95%
0-1 @ 14.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.86% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.16% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.79% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.16% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.56%

How you voted: Cape Verde vs Egypt

Cape Verde
18.3%
Draw
22.6%
Egypt
59.1%
93
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Egypt
3-0
Cape Verde
Rabia (23'), Marmoush (45+1'), Adel (70')
Fathi (16'), El Shenawy (80'), Adel (90+1')

Duarte (81')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Cape Verde
2-2
Egypt
Tavares (45+1'), Teixeira (90+9')
Pina (71')
Trezeguet (50'), Mohamed (90+3')
Marmoush (63'), Hegazy (88')
> Preview