Burkina Faso national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Senegal national football team

Burkina Faso
0 - 1
Senegal

FT(HT: 0-0)
Diarra (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burkina Faso and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burundi 0-2 Burkina Faso
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 27.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result
Burkina FasoDrawSenegal
27.51% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)28.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)44.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.73% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.14% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)60.86% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.11% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)80.89% (0.047000000000011 0.05)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.6% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)38.4% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.84% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)75.15% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)27.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)62.84% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 27.51%
    Senegal 44.29%
    Draw 28.18%
Burkina FasoDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 27.51%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 10.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 13.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.82% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 3.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23%
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 44.29%

How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Senegal

Burkina Faso
18.9%
Draw
45.9%
Senegal
35.1%
37
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Senegal
1-1
Burkina Faso
Mane (16')
Bouda (90+5')
Feb 2, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
Burkina Faso
1-3
Senegal
Toure (82')
Guira (28')
Diallo (70'), Gueye (76'), Mane (87')
Sarr (50'), Abou Cisse (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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