Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.06%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
