Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Cruzeiro
Wednesday, November 20 at 2pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, November 20 at 2pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
41
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Internacional
Thursday, November 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, November 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
36
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 19.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
58.21% ( 0.57) | 22.62% ( -0.06) | 19.18% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
