Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
